Robert Cullenbine For Governor of California
Sunday, August 24, 2003
Sunday, August 17, 2003
Georgyforgov says:
"FOR SALE: 1 vote.
COST: depends who you vote for.
I'll go by the recent CNN poll numbers.
Davis (aka No on Recall): 34%
Arnold: 25%
Cruz: 15%
McClintock: 9%
Simon: 7%
Flynt, Arianna, Ueberroth: 4% each
Let's assume that voter turnout is 7 million, that's about what it was when Gray was elected. Some simple math (though probably not simple enough that all of the above named candidates could do it) gives us:
Davis: 3.38 million votes
Arnold: 1.75 million votes
Cruz: 1.05 million votes
McClintock: 630,000 votes
Simon: 490,000 votes
Flynt, Arianna, Ueberroth: 280,000 votes each
I don't have numbers on all of the candidates. Arnold said he'd spend up to 20 million of his own money, though his staffer said he'd spend whatever it takes (since money is no object in the household of this self proclaimed populist candidate who understands the "people"). Self identified grassrooter will spend a max of 10million. Davis raised 78 million for anti recall fight, and has spent most of it, but says he'll raise another 20 million. That's 98 mil. Bustamante told Garimendi he had 15 million lined up to spend.
Davis: $28 bucks per
Arnold: $11 bucks per
Cruz: $14.28 bucks per
Arianna: $35.70 bucks per
Funny how it works out...Arnold, should he win, is getting a pretty good deal. Grassroots campaigner Arianna is paying a premium for votes. She might do better if she simply offered a little over half the current estimated cost (20 bux) to willing recipients in exchange for a vote, which would put her at 500,000 votes for $10million. If we write off Davis's first $78million, and calculate his spending at $20 million, (because keep in mind I didn't charge any of the other candidates with the money dumped in to Rescue California by Issa and others), he'd be getting a STEAL, at only $5.91 per vote. Remember that all of these numbers are based on 7million people turning out, many estimate it will be lower than that, which would, of course increase the per vote cost."
Just a question
What, other than celebrity, qualifies Arnold Schwarzenegger to serve as governor of California?George Will:Asked on "Today" whether he favored California's paid family leave law, the only such law in the nation, Arnold Schwarzenegger, the supposed reincarnation of Ronald Reagan, said: "I -- I will have to get into that. I mean, because, as you know, I'm very much for families, I'm very much for children and children's issues and all that stuff. I think that the children should have the first call in our treasury. This is the -- the most precious resource that we have. We have to think about the future of the state. Children are the most important thing, and we have to help the families." ...It seems mean to interrupt Schwarzenegger's hug of California's children, but about paid family leave: Asked on "Good Morning America" whether he would favor raising taxes as part of a solution to California's budget crisis, Schwarzenegger said he favored neither raising taxes nor cutting programs, but instead would "bring businesses back to California." Ah, but one reason businesses are fleeing is the multiplication of government-imposed costs, such as paid family leave. Concerning which ... Never mind. By encouraging facile comparisons with Reagan, Schwarzenegger's candidacy will seem to validate the dismissive assessments of Reagan as an empty suit whose smile was his political philosophy. In fact, Schwarzenegger could hardly be less like Reagan, a "conviction politician" who ran for governor in 1966 after having honed his political thinking over more than a decade of constant public advocacy. Rich Karlgaard (on Fox News, which I'm watching right now, off line, in a hospital waiting room) is saying Arnold will bring excitement and confidence, or something like that, back to business in California...
Saturday, August 16, 2003
It seems that there are many twists in the story about how this recall election began.
Right wing candidate funds the recall with $3million of his own money, then pulls out when Arnold steps up. Why?
